Defiant Imagination

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Is the student debt bubble about to burst?

Something’s definitely going on with student tuition in North America. It’s not just Quebec students fighting for affordable university education, it’s young Americans getting stuck with high debt. Taking on debt to pay for higher education used to be considered as an investment, but in a slow economy, the chances of being able to pay it back are dwindling. Sounds familiar? This New York Times article compares the student debt bubble to the mortgage crisis.

The current balance of federal student loans nationwide is $902 billion, with an additional $140 billion or so in private student loans.

“If one is not thinking about where this is headed over the next two or three years, you are just completely missing the warning signs,” said Rajeev V. Date, deputy director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, the federal watchdog created after the financial crisis.

Mr. Date likened excessive student borrowing to risky mortgages. And as with the housing bubble before the economic collapse, the extraordinary growth in student loans has caught many by surprise. But its roots are in fact deep, and the cast of contributing characters — including college marketing officers, state lawmakers wielding a budget ax and wide-eyed students and families — has been enabled by a basic economic dynamic: an insatiable demand for a college education, at almost any price, and plenty of easy-to-secure loans, primarily from the federal government.

Of course, the potential effects of seeing the bubble burst are not as high, but creating a generation of debt-ridden youth will not help the economy recover.

On endurance (and protesting)

Anarchopanda, the mascot of the Quebec protest movement. Photo AFP

Last Tuesday marked the 100th day of the student strike. Close to 400,000 people, maybe more, marched pacifically in the streets of Montreal. Of course there were not only students but all sorts of citizens who have made the protest movement their own after the government issued its special law, restricting the right to protest. This movement is not about tuition hikes anymore. In fact, it has never been, since from the start it was a matter of principles – the right to accessible education. But students are now joined by citizens fighting for civil rights and against police brutality, environmentalists angry at the government’s massive plans to sell out the land to foreign mining companies (Quebec’s Plan Nord), unions, and more. It’s also one of the first obvious signs of a generation clash fueled by boomers hitting retirement age and youth suffering from a global economic slowdown.

Yesterday was also a symbolic turn – it was the 30th consecutive evening march. After 30 days there are no more organizers, no more plan, just a religiously attended 8:30pm meeting followed by a random march through the streets. The most symbolic number, however, is not 30, but 487 – the number of people who were circled by the police, then arrested even if there had been no incidents. Every evening the number of arrests grows, and as the number grows protesters remain peaceful and keep on showing up at 8:30pm, day after day.

A couple of days ago people started banging kitchen pots at 8pm, out in the streets or on their balcony. I think a lot of people wanted to take part in the protests even if they couldn’t join the evening march, because some of us have to work or have kids or are scared of getting arrested. So everyday now we bang pots at 8pm, and in some instances neighbours end up gathering in the streets and marching together, sometimes until they end up joining the main evening march (of the 487 arrests yesterday there was a number of pot bangers.)

Every night if I’m not joining the protest I keep on checking the #manifencours Twitter hashtag that people use to spread live updates about the march, and I tune in CUTV’s live broadcast. Every night I’m a little anxious that this time no one will show up or that the movement will slowly die, but I’m proved wrong. For weeks I’ve been expecting protesters to get fed up and turn violent and riot – this would not be right but somewhat logical. But I’m proved wrong, night after night. What’s incredible is that after 100 days of strike and 30 days of daily protests, this non-violent movement has gained an incredible energy, a strength and popularity that could not have been achieved with violence. It’s like a marathon runner who feels the pain disappear and enters a mental state of bliss after a couple of hours. The endurance of non-violent protesters leads to something much more powerful than any of us would have imagined.

Quebec student strike: fighting for principles

Students march during a night protest. Photo credits: Flavie Halais

 

It’s quite remarkable that the Quebec student strike still continues to go unnoticed by international media, despite being the longest student strike in the history of Quebec (and possibly Canada). Protests are taking place everyday, the largest ones gathering up to 300,000 demonstrators.

The movement started last February, after the provincial government announced it would increase tuition fees by 75% over five years. Quebec’s university tuition fees are the lowest in North America, thanks to a unique history of student actions combined with a tradition of public subsidy of higher education. Students are protesting not so much about the raise itself (tuition fees after the raise would still be the country’s lowest, at $3793 a year) than the logic behind the government’s decision. They point at examples of mismanagement of universities and criticize the fact that higher education has become a commercial venture that is driven by profitability.

After fourteen weeks or so of striking, Quebeckers and Montrealers especially (the city is home to about 150,000 students) are getting tired. Protests have sometimes been violent, as a fringe of demonstrators favour aggressive tactics and last week, four people were charged with committing a terrorism-related prank after throwing smoke bomb in the subway, resulting in the entire system being paralyzed. Police brutality has also been a big issue, with unjustified use of pepper-spray and plastic bullets, beatings, and mass arrests. A protest in Victoriaville turned sour, prompting Amnesty International to criticize the police’s handling of demonstrations.

The Quebec government is being criticized for taking too long to take the movement seriously and engage into talks with student unions. A first deal has been rejected after the government made contradictory statements in the press. Now universities and colleges with departments on strike (not everyone is striking) have to face the possibility of canceling the semester altogether.

Anger has been mounting between the pro and anti-strike. Strikers have been described as self-absorbed and spoiled by some who, in my opinion, refuse to see what the movement is all about. Indeed, the strike has generated some fascinating conversation in the media about the role of higher education and the problems faced by students who have to deal with a much higher cost of living than their parents did. For people in my generation, the general feeling is that our parents went to school for cheap, got to buy cars and houses when they were still affordable, were able to find work without too much trouble, and did  a wonderful job at f***ing up everything for us. And now they’re calling us lazy and spoiled.

One of the strikers’s arguments is that one only has to look south of the border to see that they’re just fighting to avoid this kind of future for Quebec. The New York Times’s recent exposé on student debt compares the situation to another mortgage bubble about to burst. Quebec tuition fees might be the lowest in North America, it’s already impossible to complete a bachelor’s degree without working full time during the summer, part-time during fall and winter semesters, and taking on some debt, if you don’t receive financial support from your parents. These are not suitable conditions.

I’ve taken part in some of the demonstrations and the atmosphere is generally lively and festive. It’s a beautiful, altruistic and necessary movement that I hope will be successful.

For an efficient summary of the movement, read this Guardian article.

“If you think education is expensive, try ignorance”

Nicholas D. Kristof’s last column in the New York Times is a cry for help in defense of education. But whereas the columnist and reporter usually writes about international issues and developing countries, his latest text is about a domestic problem.

“Chipping away at poverty is difficult and uncertain work, but perhaps the anti-poverty program with the very best record is education — and that’s as true in New York as it is in Nigeria,” writes Kristof.

Several countries have chosen to slash education budgets in order to face budget deficits. In France, thousands of teachers’ positions have been suppressed. Classroom sizes are swelling and individualized student services are getting scarce. Why governments would want to threaten one of the best catalysts for economic prosperity is unclear to me, although I can certainly understand that putting money into education is a long-term investment, whereas saving money by cutting public funds generates immediate results. And in the political world, that is what matters.

Recent drastic budget cuts in Detroit have caused the suppression of 853 staff positions, including 304 classroom teachers. Back in March, when the plan was drafted, the Emergency Financial Manager’s measures were estimated to cause classroom sizes to climb to 60 kids per classroom. Now how is this supposed to pull Detroit out of its economical and social mess? I don’t know.

What scares me the most is not the current cuts, but the result of these, that we’ll only get to see in 20 years or so.